Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.996268 2.083764 2.174086 2.274525 2.383371 2.498081 2.628517
2025-12-07 1.824778 1.942827 2.069063 2.214878 2.379671 2.561356 2.778527
2025-12-14 1.675574 1.810002 1.957564 2.133030 2.337989 2.572405 2.864682
2025-12-21 1.608972 1.762094 1.934446 2.145317 2.399967 2.702548 3.097359
2025-12-28 1.555816 1.724437 1.918484 2.162084 2.465467 2.839313 3.349547
2026-01-04 1.468084 1.640371 1.841636 2.098823 2.426160 2.840268 3.424720
2026-01-11 1.422323 1.603143 1.817855 2.097660 2.462591 2.938431 3.637198
2026-01-18 1.392814 1.583376 1.813347 2.119009 2.527776 3.077977 3.921514
2026-01-25 1.350079 1.544875 1.782901 2.104182 2.542478 3.147854 4.110115
2026-02-01 1.303577 1.499455 1.741199 2.071593 2.529743 3.176339 4.236455
2026-02-08 1.234656 1.423316 1.657143 1.978425 2.427098 3.066321 4.128898
2026-02-15 1.194618 1.382491 1.617078 1.942458 2.402591 3.069344 4.205898
2026-02-22 1.162397 1.353759 1.595652 1.936471 2.428757 3.163166 4.471815
2026-03-01 1.123136 1.314730 1.559330 1.908421 2.421608 3.206332 4.660005
2026-03-08 1.076780 1.264950 1.506849 1.855223 2.373818 3.181113 4.720389
2026-03-15 1.059271 1.252269 1.503467 1.871196 2.431316 3.332833 5.150104
2026-03-22 1.043369 1.240966 1.501241 1.888389 2.491700 3.496334 5.645117
2026-03-29 1.006227 1.199951 1.456463 1.840711 2.445639 3.468689 5.718759
2026-04-05 0.987633 1.183261 1.444693 1.841255 2.477128 3.583412 6.147961
2026-04-12 0.975874 1.175323 1.444670 1.859160 2.538135 3.759986 6.784443
2026-04-19 0.955670 1.155098 1.426349 1.847926 2.548889 3.841072 7.199812
2026-04-26 0.932181 1.129636 1.399610 1.822268 2.532862 3.866835 7.468895
2026-05-03 0.894915 1.084231 1.342957 1.747750 2.427642 3.701926 7.131066